NFL Playoff Picture 2026

Updated

NFL playoff picture 2026: if the season ended today, these are the seven seeds in each conference, the teams in the hunt and the teams already out, with magic numbers for the teams closest to clinching and every division race. Clinch and elimination flags are calculated from the games remaining. Standings are through Week 4.

AFC: the Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) hold the No. 1 seed; the New England Patriots (2-2) hold the last wild-card spot with 9 teams within reach. NFC: the San Francisco 49ers (4-0) hold the No. 1 seed; the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) hold the last wild-card spot with 9 teams within reach.

Updated

AFC Playoff Picture

If the season ended today · last spot: New England Patriots (2-2)

SeedTeamW-LDivConfDiffStrkLeftStatus
1Kansas City ChiefsAFC West4-02-04-0+41W413Division winner Bye
2Baltimore RavensAFC North3-10-02-0+20W213Division winner
3Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South3-10-03-1+51W213Division winner
4Buffalo BillsAFC East3-10-12-1+20L113Division winner
5Las Vegas RaidersAFC West3-11-12-1+31L113Wild card
6Cleveland BrownsAFC North3-11-01-1-14W313Wild card
7New England PatriotsAFC East2-21-02-1-12W113Wild card
Denver BroncosAFC West2-20-11-1-20L113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Pittsburgh SteelersAFC North2-21-11-2-10L113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Cincinnati BengalsAFC North2-20-11-2+12L213In the hunt · tied for last spot
Indianapolis ColtsAFC South2-21-01-2-2W213In the hunt · tied for last spot
New York JetsAFC East1-30-01-0-8L313In the hunt · 1 game back
Houston TexansAFC South0-40-10-3-25L413In the hunt · 2 games back
Tennessee TitansAFC South0-40-00-2-28L413In the hunt · 2 games back
Los Angeles ChargersAFC West0-40-10-2-39L413In the hunt · 2 games back
Miami DolphinsAFC East0-40-00-2-55L413In the hunt · 2 games back

AFC clinch watch

Any combination of that many wins and losses by the first team out (Denver Broncos) clinches a playoff berth.

Magic number12Chiefs 4-0
Magic number13Ravens 3-1
Magic number13Jaguars 3-1
Magic number13Bills 3-1
Magic number13Raiders 3-1
Magic number13Browns 3-1

AFC bubble

AFC playoff race: win percentage, playoff line after seed 7
25%50%75%100%1 KC4-02 BAL3-13 JAX3-14 BUF3-15 LV3-16 CLE3-17 NE2-2DEN2-2PIT2-2CIN2-2IND2-2NYJ1-3HOU0-4TEN0-4LAC0-4MIA0-4PLAYOFF LINE

NFC Playoff Picture

If the season ended today · last spot: Atlanta Falcons (2-2)

SeedTeamW-LDivConfDiffStrkLeftStatus
1San Francisco 49ersNFC West4-02-02-0+58W413Division winner Bye
2Minnesota VikingsNFC North4-02-03-0+35W413Division winner
3New York GiantsNFC East3-11-02-1+3W213Division winner
4Carolina PanthersNFC South2-21-02-1+12W113Division winner
5Chicago BearsNFC North3-10-12-1+47W213Wild card
6Seattle SeahawksNFC West3-11-01-1+32W113Wild card
7Atlanta FalconsNFC South2-21-12-1+4W213Wild card
Los Angeles RamsNFC West2-20-12-1+2W113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Dallas CowboysNFC East2-21-11-1+10W113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Detroit LionsNFC North2-20-01-1-8L113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Philadelphia EaglesNFC East2-21-01-2-18L213In the hunt · tied for last spot
Green Bay PackersNFC North2-20-11-2-32W113In the hunt · tied for last spot
Washington CommandersNFC East1-30-21-2-34L113In the hunt · 1 game back
New Orleans SaintsNFC South1-30-10-2-23L213In the hunt · 1 game back
Arizona CardinalsNFC West1-30-20-3-30L313In the hunt · 1 game back
Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South0-40-00-2-20L413In the hunt · 2 games back

NFC clinch watch

Any combination of that many wins and losses by the first team out (Los Angeles Rams) clinches a playoff berth.

Magic number1249ers 4-0
Magic number12Vikings 4-0
Magic number13Giants 3-1
Magic number14Panthers 2-2
Magic number13Bears 3-1
Magic number13Seahawks 3-1

NFC bubble

NFC playoff race: win percentage, playoff line after seed 7
25%50%75%100%1 SF4-02 MIN4-03 NYG3-14 CAR2-25 CHI3-16 SEA3-17 ATL2-2LA2-2DAL2-2DET2-2PHI2-2GB2-2WAS1-3NO1-3ARI1-3TB0-4PLAYOFF LINE

Division Races

AFC EastBills 3-1vsPatriots 2-21 game lead
AFC NorthRavens 3-1vsBrowns 3-1Tiebreaker lead
AFC SouthJaguars 3-1vsColts 2-21 game lead
AFC WestChiefs 4-0vsRaiders 3-11 game lead
NFC EastGiants 3-1vsCowboys 2-21 game lead
NFC NorthVikings 4-0vsBears 3-11 game lead
NFC SouthPanthers 2-2vsFalcons 2-2Tiebreaker lead
NFC West49ers 4-0vsSeahawks 3-11 game lead

Seeds 1-4 division winners · 5-7 wild cards · No. 1 seed has a bye · Clinch/eliminated flags use games remaining, not the full tiebreaker list.

How the NFL Playoff Picture Is Calculated

Four division winners take seeds 1-4 by record, the three best remaining records are wild cards. A team is marked clinched when no result can drop it out of the top 7, and eliminated when it can no longer catch the last spot. Magic numbers count the wins and rival losses still needed. Tiebreakers follow the league order.

The NFL playoff picture is recalculated after every game from the full standings, so seeds, magic numbers and games back are always current. Check the tiebreaker rules for how close races are settled, and the projected bracket to see what today’s seeds would produce.

Share this page

NFL playoff picture FAQ

Who is the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff picture?

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0), not yet clinched.

Who holds the last playoff spot in the AFC?

The New England Patriots (2-2) are the No. 7 seed today, chased by Denver Broncos, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals and Indianapolis Colts (+5 more).

Who is the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoff picture?

The San Francisco 49ers (4-0), not yet clinched.

Who holds the last playoff spot in the NFC?

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) are the No. 7 seed today, chased by Los Angeles Rams, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles (+5 more).

Which teams have clinched a 2027 playoff spot?

None yet. The first clinches usually come in early December.

Which teams are eliminated from the 2027 NFL playoffs?

None yet; every team is still mathematically alive.

What is a magic number?

The total of that team’s wins plus losses by the first team outside the playoff line that guarantees a berth. It drops by one with each of those results; at zero the spot is clinched.

How are ties in the playoff picture broken?

Head-to-head first, then division record (division ties) or conference record (wild-card ties), common games, strength of victory and strength of schedule. This page applies win percentage, head-to-head, conference record and point differential.